- Nicole made landfall in Florida early Thursday morning as a hurricane.
- Coastal flooding, high winds, flooding rains and tornadoes are expected along the southeastern coast.
- Heavy rain, strong winds, and a few tornadoes are possible for the remainder of eastern Friday through early Saturday.
Nicole made landfall in Florida early Thursday morning as a hurricane, but the effects of prolonged coastal flooding, coastal erosion, high winds, high waves, heavy rains and tornadoes will affect other parts of the Southeast and the mid- and mid-Atlantic regions. continue to give Northeast until the end of the weekday.
Nicole’s center landed just south of Vero Beach, Florida at 3am ET. With maximum sustained winds of 75 mph, Nicole is classified as a Category 1 hurricane.
Because Nicole is inland, it is weakened by strong tropical storms.
Nicole is right November 4th Hurricane Makes Landfall in Continental United States It was recorded in the middle of the 19th century and is the first record in 37 years.
current status
Radar shows a band of soaking rain across northern and central Florida this morning.
(more: live update | | Photo)
According to the National Hurricane, Nicole’s large wind area includes strong tropical storm winds (39 mph) to the west, north, and east of its center, including most of the Florida peninsula, coastal Georgia, and coastal South Carolina. above) is sufficiently spread out. Central analysis below.
Winds of over 70 miles per hour blow along Florida’s Atlantic coast, including Playalinda Beach (73 mph), Cape Canaveral (71 mph) and Melbourne (70 mph).
NOAA tide gauges reported massive coastal flooding this morning in Port Canaveral, Florida, with storm surges exceeding 5 feet.
Alert and monitor
All hurricane warnings were canceled as Nicole was weakened by the tropical storm.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for large areas of southern, central and northern Florida, southern Georgia, and lowland South Carolina.
Cities with tropical storm warnings include Orlando, Florida, Fort Myers, Tampa, Tallahassee, Savannah, Georgia, and Charleston, South Carolina.
A storm surge warning has been issued from Jupiter Inlet, Florida, to Glynn County, Georgia, along a portion of the St. Johns River in northeastern Florida from Georgetown to the Atlantic Ocean north of Jacksonville Beach. of the Florida Gulf Coast north of Pasco County to Wakulla County.
Forecast impact
Nicole is predicted to continue weakening today as it turns northwest over Florida.
It will then be picked up by a cold front that will turn the storm northeast over the southeastern states on Friday. Leftover energy and moisture from Nicole will team up with that cold front to bring heavy rains and gusty winds to the East Coast on Saturday.
Current status, predicted path
(The red shaded area shows the potential path for the core of a tropical cyclone. The effects of tropical cyclones, particularly heavy rainfall, high waves, coastal flooding, and wind, typically extend beyond predicted paths. Important to note.)
Below is a breakdown of what to expect from Nicole. Note that Nicole’s larger size means that its impact spreads farther from the center, arriving faster and lasting longer than it does through the center. please.
storm surge, coastal flooding, coastal erosion
Continued onshore winds will lead to coastal flooding along parts of the southeast coast from Florida to Carolina through Thursday, or Friday in some areas.
Here is the National Hurricane Center’s peak storm surge forecast, if it occurs during high tide.
Given the coastal flooding from multiple high tide cycles and violent waves riding on top of storm surges along the east coast of Florida and parts of the Georgia coast, major beach erosion and damage to infrastructure is expected. expected. This is especially true when: East Florida coast damaged by Hurricane Ian Late September.
Moderate to severe coastal flooding is also possible as far as South Carolina, including Charleston, where coastal flooding is expected to peak at high tide Thursday morning. During this maximum storm surge, extensive roads in the city can be flooded.
One exception to this general scenario is parts of the western Florida Gulf Coast.
The tides start much lower than normal due to the winds blowing offshore.
But by late Thursday, Water levels can rise rapidly As Nicol’s center moves north, the wind switches to onshore. This could peak Thursday night but continue into Friday.
A tropical storm (more than 39 miles per hour) will continue to sweep across much of the Florida Peninsula on Thursday.
These high winds are expected to drain power and potentially knock down trees, especially near the coast.
Nicole will weaken, but strong winds are likely in parts of Georgia, Carolina, and Virginia through Friday.
Nicol’s wreckage, in concert with the cold front and powerful jet stream energy, could cause strong gusts from Friday night through Saturday morning from the Delmarva Peninsula and Chesapeake Bay in the northeast to New England north, especially near the coast. There is a nature.
These gusts will scatter trees and could cause power outages Friday through Saturday.
Precipitation amount
Heavy rain has already reached Florida and should spread north to parts of Georgia and Carolina by Friday.
Parts of central and northern Florida, including some areas flooded by rainfall from Hurricane Ian, are expected to see the highest total rainfall.
Parts of the St. Johns River are still beyond the flood stage after the rain Ian had about six weeks ago. According to the NWS, the St. Johns River will slowly decline in the coming weeks after the Ian and transition to a more stable level than the flood stage after the Nicole rains.
Several minor river floods were also predicted along the Peace and Little Manatee rivers in western Florida, and experienced record floods during Ian. Nowhere near the scale of a flood.
An approaching cold front combined with wetness in Nicole will bring rain to the Appalachian Mountains, mid-Atlantic and northeastern regions Friday through Saturday.
Widespread rainfall of 1 to 5 inches is possible from parts of southern Florida to the Carolina, Georgia, mid-Atlantic, and northeastern states.
This can lead to localized flash floods and river flooding, especially in the Appalachian Mountains and adjacent foothills, and in parts of the Northeast.
tornado
As with most landfalling storms, a few isolated tornadoes and devastating thunderstorm gusts are also possible in Nicole’s rain belt Thursday through Friday.
Let’s look at the timing here.
– Thursday – Thursday night: Northeast Florida, Southeast Georgia, Central and Coastal South Carolina, Southern North Carolina.
– Friday-Friday nights: Central and Eastern Carolina to Mid-Atlantic.
Summary of the storm so far
Nicole intensified into a hurricane Wednesday night while making landfall in Grand Bahama. A gust of 61 miles per hour was recorded on the island Wednesday night.
Massive surf and coastal flooding affect much of the southeastern coast.water level has risen about two feet taller than normal Along Florida’s Atlantic coast at high tide Wednesday morning.
Flooding reported around home on Anastasia Island, near St. Augustine, and on some streets West Palm Beach, Wednesday. In St. He Lucy County near Jensen Beach, a storm surge breached a seawall.coastal erosion Weakened 1 structure When We ate in the hotel parking lot. Located at Daytona Beach Shores.
Storm surge flooding was also captured on video Wednesday morning Marsh Harbor, in the Abaco Islands of the Bahamas, was hit by Hurricane Dorian in 2019. Winds of up to 60 mph are blowing in Hope Town, according to the Bahamas Meteorological Service.
Charleston, South Carolina, also reported minor street flooding around high tide Wednesday morning.
Please check back at weather.com for important updates on Nicole.
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