event
As of December 3, demonstrations in Iran show no signs of abating and have become increasingly violent, especially in the provinces of Sistan va Balochistan, Khuzestan and Kurdistan. Authorities continue to use live ammunition in response to protests over the death of Mahsa Amini, who died in custody in mid-September for allegedly violating the country’s dress code. Security forces appear prone to deploying lethal forces, particularly in Kurdish, Baloch, Arab, and Azerbaijani cities and towns. Beyond a violent crackdown in Kurdistan province, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has launched airstrikes in Iraqi Kurdistan against an Iranian Kurdish separatist group accused of fueling civil unrest involving Iran. are doing
Demonstrations and labor strikes demanding gender equality and social and economic reforms will almost certainly continue until late December, given that authorities have failed to meet protesters’ demands. The IRGC commander issued a warning to protesters and demanded they stop taking to the streets. A warning from the IRGC commander almost certainly indicates further plans by the authorities to use violence against demonstrators. It claims protesters have been killed and hundreds injured.
About 200 cities across the country have witnessed civil unrest, including Tehran, Isfahan, Mashhad, Karaj, Tabriz, Ahwaz and Shiraz. Governments have also frequently imposed internet restrictions to impede the ability of activists to mobilize support.
Labor groups have launched a series of strikes to demand justice and show solidarity with protesters. In early October, oil workers demonstrated in solidarity with the protesters in Abadan and Assouye. Kerman’s steelworkers announced that he would go on strike on October 30. More protests and strikes by oil and gas workers are likely unless authorities crack down and address the issues that caused the uproar. Additionally, student demonstrations continue in Tehran and elsewhere in the country.
Additionally, the Kurdish region of Iran has launched regular general strikes. Shops and businesses in 15 Kurdish cities, including Sanandaj, Mahabad, Piranshahr and Bukan, closed operations in early October in protest against government bombings of dissident groups in Iraqi Kurdistan. Tehran has accused an Iranian-Kurdish group in exile in Iraq of facilitating ongoing demonstrations in Iran.
Security forces have resorted to using live ammunition, tear gas and water cannons to disperse protesters. Authorities have also arrested thousands of people and continue to detain activists in an attempt to quell civil unrest. Against this background, Iranian security agencies may also step up surveillance and harassment of foreign visitors to Iran.
Authorities will almost certainly maintain heightened security regimes in major cities until the protests subside. Security forces respond forcefully in the event of civil unrest, including the use of tear gas, water cannons and batons, especially when participants cause excessive disruption or disobey orders to disperse. There is a possibility. Authorities may tighten internet service restrictions in areas of the country where protests are active in the coming days.
environment
Protests initially erupted in mid-September as a direct response to the death of a Kurdish woman, Amini, in custody of Iran’s Gasht-e-Ershad or Morality Police. Amini was charged with violating the country’s law requiring women to wear a hijab and head scarf. But the movement has essentially devolved into a national uprising against the Iranian government and its security apparatus, and Amini’s death has prompted authorities to abolish Gashte Ershad, among other reforms, by hundreds. It became the cry of millions of Iranians.
White and green vehicles used by the moral police have reportedly stopped patrolling Tehran’s streets since the protests began. However, the authorities are unlikely to introduce serious social and political reforms, including relaxing the country’s dress code.
Moreover, while the demonstrations show no signs of abating, government coercion and capacity remain crucial. Authorities can deploy Iran’s Artesh or regular forces as well as his IRGC. The regime could also deploy the Sazeman-e Basij-e Mostazafen, an Iranian organization for the mobilization of the oppressed. Basij was founded in April 1980 with the express purpose of suppressing dissidents and quelling social unrest in the country.
advice
Consider postponing non-essential travel to Iran until the situation stabilizes. Avoid large gatherings and any locations where security forces are deployed. Plan for ground transportation disruptions and allow extra time to reach major city destinations, especially near high-protest sites such as public squares and government buildings. please give me. Please follow the instructions of the guards. If violence occurs nearby, leave the area immediately and seek shelter in a safe, non-governmental building. Please maintain contact with diplomatic representatives.
