A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows Republican fanatics and persistent concerns over the state of the economy have put Republicans in a strong position in the race for control of the U.S. House of Representatives about a week later.
A new survey released Wednesday shows that Democrats’ enthusiasm for the vote is much lower than it was in 2018, when Democrats took control of the House. Republican voters show more involvement in this year’s midterm elections than Democrats on multiple questions that gauge their likelihood to vote, according to a new poll.
Overall, 27% of registered voters say they are very enthusiastic about voting this year, down from 37% just before the 2018 midterm elections, and the decline in enthusiasm is almost entirely among Democrats. occurring in between. Four years ago, 44% of registered Democratic voters said they were very enthusiastic about voting. Today, only 24% say the same. Among Republicans, that number has only slightly decreased from 43% to 38%.
Although overall enthusiasm for the vote is now lower than it was in October 2010, the current dominance of Republican enthusiasm is similar to the partisan differences seen in CNN polls at the time. Ahead of a very strong performance in the Republican midterm elections. Republican voters were and still are 14 percentage points more likely to say they are very enthusiastic about the midterms (31% of Republican voters are very enthusiastic compared to 17% of Democrats who are very enthusiastic). enthusiastic).
Republicans outnumber Democrats in new polls, a popular vote question that asks voters if they support the candidate whose party they support in their congressional district between 51% and 47%. slightly beyond the range of Among registered voters, they are nearly evenly matched, with Republicans 47% ahead of Democrats 46%. Tightly divided general vote numbers often led to Republican interests in the House.
The Republican Party’s position in this year’s House election is underpinned by broader concerns about the state of the country’s economy. The economy and inflation are voters’ biggest concerns in this final phase, with nearly half (51%) of all voters saying they will be the main issues determining their votes in Congress this year. The number two issue, abortion, is the top concern for her 15% of voters. Other issues tested included voting rights and electoral integrity (9%), gun policy (7%), immigration (6%), climate change (4%) and crime (3%). Each selected by less than %. ).
Republican and independent voters are broadly focused on the economy, with 71% of Republicans and 53% of independents calling it their top vote issue. Likely Democrat voters are more divided, with the economy and abortion being about the same number of biggest issues, with 29% saying abortion and 27% saying the economy and inflation.
Voters more likely to say the economy is their top concern, 71% to 26%, lead Republicans by a wide margin in congressional districts. An even wider gap was found in those who said they trust Republicans to handle the economy and inflation more concretely (71% Republicans vs. 18% Democrats).
Opinion polls show a widespread and growing perception that the economy is already in recession, with a majority saying things are generally not going well at home.
Overall, 75% of Americans say the economy is in recession, up from 64% this summer. A majority of political parties, including 91% of Republicans, 74% of independents and 61% of Democrats, believe the economy is already in recession. A majority (55%) overall said they were unhappy with their financial situation, up from 47% who felt so this spring. While most Republicans (57%) and independents (62%) express dissatisfaction with their finances, Democrats are more likely to be satisfied (55% satisfied, 45% dissatisfied). ).
Nearly three-quarters of Americans (74%, including 72% of potential voters) say things aren’t going well in the country today. This is a slight improvement from this summer, when 79% of all adults rated things not good, but similar to how Americans felt about the state of their country just before the 2010 midterm elections. (75% said things were not going well) and just before Election Day 2018 (44% said things got worse in early November). The last time a majority of Americans said things were going well in America was in January 2020, before the Covid-19 pandemic.
President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have also fallen in new polls amid growing economic malaise and negative public perceptions of the country stagnating. Overall, 41% of adults say they approve of the president’s performance, down from his 44% in his most recent CNN poll, but still short of his low point this summer. . Among voters, Biden’s approval rating is his 42%, roughly on par with 2018 voters Donald Trump (41% approved) and his 2010 Barack Obama (43% approved).
A new CNN poll conducted in October among a random national sample of 1,508 adults using samples drawn from a probability-based panel containing 1,290 registered voters and 992 potential voters. Conducted by SSRS from 26th to 31st. Surveys were conducted online or by telephone with live interviewers. Full sample results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points. 3.4 points for registered voters and 3.8 points for prospective voters. Candidates were identified through a series of questions about voting intentions, interests, and past voting history.
Half of Americans believe US election results reflect the will of the people, with Republicans less confident than Democrats in the fairness of the process and having a responsibility to concede to losing candidates. likely to reject the idea of
While 50% of adults say they have at least some confidence that today’s American elections reflect the will of the people, the rest show little or no confidence. This represents a slight improvement from this summer’s CNN poll, where only 42% said he was confident. The change is largely due to a slight recovery in trust between independents (49% say they are somewhat confident in the election, up from 38%) and Republicans (41%, up from 29%) That’s what I did. Confidence remains highest among Democrats, with 61% expressing at least some confidence, as well as 57% who said the same this summer.
Still, increased Republican confidence in the electoral system does not make them more willing to accept the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. He said 66% of Republicans don’t believe Mr. Biden legally won the election, which he hasn’t changed since July.
A majority of Americans (82%) say they have an obligation to accept and acknowledge the results of unsuccessful candidates in their state, while 17% say unsuccessful candidates have no such obligation. It states that it is not. A quarter of Republicans said he had no obligation to concede a losing candidate, compared with 7% of Democrats. Within the Republican Party, that view centers on election naysayers: His 33% of Republicans who deny Biden won the presidency fairly said losing candidates are obliged to concede their defeat. I don’t think it should. 2020 election results.
Also, Republicans are less likely than Democrats to say that a challenge by their losing candidate will undermine public confidence in the country’s electoral system. Dissent and lost candidates say they will do more to reduce confidence in American elections than to increase them. His small 54% majority of Republicans and Republican supporters said that contesting the results would reduce confidence in the election if Republican candidates lost.
On both the Republican and Democratic sides, partisan segments were more likely than partisan-leaning independents to say that contesting the election result would increase their confidence in the election, and college graduates more likely to see such a trend than college graduates. Confidence-inducing movements. On the Republican side, self-described conservatives are more likely than self-described moderates to say that challenging election results boost confidence in the system. There aren’t many similar ideological gaps on the Democratic side.