The “policy of increasing tensions to reduce tensions” is the wrong policy that the United States normally employs against Iran.
Such policies usually lead to third party casualties without American victory. This wrong policy is clearly visible in Syria, Afghanistan and Ukraine.
Negotiations were underway between Iran, a European trio (France, UK, Germany or E3), Russia and China to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. But negotiations stalled after the United States showed no serious willingness to put her agreement, formally known as the JCPOA, on the right track.
Amid the stalemate, the US and the E3 provoked a resolution against Iran at the International Atomic Energy Agency’s board of directors. China and Russia opposed the resolution. The resolution, which received 26 votes in favor of a 35-member committee, claims that Iran is not cooperating with the IAEA over the sources of uranium particles found in what she calls three undeclared locations. did.
Iran has argued that the allegations that traces of uranium were invented by Israel are unfounded. However, prior to the adoption of the resolution, Iran announced that it was willing to consult with the IAEA on such allegations to clear up misunderstandings.
The US and E3 sought approval of the resolution even though they were still looking to restart negotiations to revive the battered nuclear deal.
Western parties struggled with the illusion that Tehran would yield to pressure by ratifying the resolution. However, Iran responded strongly by enriching Fordow’s uranium, which had been used exclusively for nuclear research under the JCPOA, to 60% purity.
The prevailing view is that the E3 and the US worked together to draft the resolution and pressured allies on the IAEA board to vote, but in reality the E3 and the larger European Union were the main losers.
Washington deceived E3, but American officials themselves were deceived by anti-Islamic republic groups based primarily in Europe and North America. These groups were telling the White House and its European allies that Iran was grappling with domestic unrest and that now was the right time to put more pressure on Tehran.
But the pressure backfired. Had the US imagined Iran would react so strongly, it may never have sought a solution.
Iran now has the upper hand
From the statements of the drafters of the resolution, it can be inferred that they did not expect such a strong countermeasure from Iran and are now worried about the possible death of diplomacy with Iran. .
The US-inspired resolution at the IAEA Board of Governors can be compared to Donald Trump’s unilateral move to quit the JCPOA, which will eventually be deprived of the Iranian market of 85 million and ultimately hit Europeans who were forced to leave the stage in favor of their competitors. The efforts of European nations after the United States withdrew from the JCPOA proved that they were not happy with Trump’s reckless abandonment of the hard-won nuclear deal.
There are other examples of Europeans being deceived by Americans. This can be noticed in the war between Russia and Ukraine. Europeans are paying more and more as the US fuels the flames of war. Unprecedented inflation in recent decades, a sluggish economy and European public protests have sparked the Ukraine war.
In his 2019 book Defense of an Open Society, George Soros states: This event will put a double and unpredictable pressure on a Europe already beset with many problems. It’s a harsh reality.
Iran’s installation of the IR6 centrifuge after adoption of the resolution will advance Iran’s nuclear technology and lay the groundwork for a significant increase in Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Also, the US and E3 failed to contain Iran. Ultimately, the move will certainly give Iran an edge in future negotiations.